Weekend Premier League Betting Tips – January 10th/11th 2020
What a time to be having a bet on the Premier League. We’ve got some of the best managers in the world pitting their wits against each other. Everton, a mid-table team have just hired Ancelotti a multiple Champions League winner! It’s crazy.
And there’s a host of new managers come in and we all know that with a new manager you can almost throw the rule book out the window. The likelihood is, you would have been betting against West Ham, but with David Moyes at the helm, they’re not the same team.
All that uncertainty means you’re getting better betting odds than you would normally expect, and with the right nose, the right sets of data interpreted well you can get a lot of value. It’s a great weekend to be having a bet and here’s our rundown of matches and predictions.
Sheffield Utd v West Ham United – Friday – KO 8.00
This is an exciting match-up. Who would have thought you could say that about Sheffield Utd vs West Ham, but the stars have aligned to make it so. Sheffield Utd are a seriously good team. A team made up of team players playing for their manager and for each other. The sum definitely adds up to more than the individual parts.
On the flipside West Ham have been decidedly average all season. They couldn’t be any different to Sheffield. In players like Yarmolenko, Anderson and Haller they have some stardust. The problem is, it hasn’t worked. Not yet.
At any other time in the season, you would put Sheffield down for the win, a draw if you felt really generous. But West Ham have a new manager. By new manager we mean David Moyes who has been at the helm before, but the team has started to play like they’re playing for their careers, which they might well be doing.
This is super difficult to call. Stats would put Sheffield to win, they’re at home, they’ve been the better team over the course of the season. And in this case, we’re going to agree with that. But not because of what we’ve just outlined but because they’ve gone and faced Liverpool and like most other teams, they lost.
But this is not other teams, Chris Wilder has higher expectations and standards from his players and he’s going to ask for more from his team, a reaction, and so far this season, he’s got what he’s asked for.We are going for a home win, 2-0 or 2-1.
For 2-0 or 2-1 home wins you can get odds of 7/1. We love 9/1 odds for John Lundstram to score at 7/2. He’s had chances week in, week out because of the way Sheffield United sets up.
Crystal Palace v Arsenal – Saturday – KO 12.30
It doesn’t get any easier. This is one hell of a game to call, for many of the same reasons we spoke about with Sheffield Utd and West Ham. For many, Crystal Palace have been a surprise package this season. They are not so reliant on Wilfred Zaha this season, because they can’t be. He’s a marked man. Yet somehow they’re picking up results. They’re are a top 10 team punching above their weight.
On the flipside, Arsenal have been rejuvenated by a new coach in Arteta. They have some great attacking talent, but they’re flimsy (that’s putting it politely) and up to now, they seem to have an attitude problem. This league is ultra competitive and they seem to expect to get respect when there a number of top-quality teams and you have to fight to get results.
Arteta has added a work ethic to this Arsenal team. In a short space of time, he’s increased expectations. He’s taken things back to their roots. Hard work, discipline and fitness. And the players have responded well. Add to that their array of attacking talent, We are predicting a win in this London derby.
We like 13/2 odds for an Arsenal 2-1 win. You can actually pick up good odds with Aubameyang scoring first at 28/1. If you’re after a bit of fun, that’s a great bet to take.
Man Utd v Norwich – Saturday – KO 3.00
Man Utd just got creamed against their noisy little brother across the city, at home no less. OK, it was in the league cup but still, both clubs played strong teams and Man Utd were embarrassed. Add to that Pogba needing minor surgery that will keep out of the game.
Luckily for the Man U, they’re playing a team languishing at the foot of the table. Norwich is a good side, a nice blend of youth and experience and they’re sticking to their principles and playing a good brand of football. They find themselves competitive in a lot of games, but this is a really difficult league right now and they’ve just been found short too many times. It’s tough because they haven’t gambled with buying players, they’ve stuck with what has got them there.
This is exactly the type of game Man United would slip up, take their foot off the gas and get beaten or drop points with a draw, and of course, that’s possible.
But, because they’re at home and because Manchester City gave them a wake-up call, We’re expecting them to be looking to bounce back, and if that’s the case, they’ll be too strong for a plucky Norwich team.
You can get odds of 11/2 to 13/2 for a United win,predicting the correct score of 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1. Rashford to score first gets odds of 23/10 which has plenty of value.
Spurs v Liverpool – Saturday – KO 3.00
Liverpool are down to their bare bones. In defence they are down to Van Dijk and Gomez, their last two recognized first team centre backs. In fact, they’ve had to call back Nat Phillips from loan to provide cover. In midfield, they are equally threadbare. Fabinho is out, Milner has picked up an injury, so has Kieta. That leaves Henderson, Wijnaldum and Lallana as first choice midfielders, with Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain just returning from his own layoff.
Spurs are not in as bad a shape but with Kane out injured they are suddenly very short up front. Son is a fantastic player, and midfielders have been contributing with goals but Kane will be missed.
Spurs with Morinho at the helm will be a difficult proposition. He’s frustrated Liverpool on multiple occasions before. And they’ll be at home. If this had been at Anfield, with Liverpool’s 18 month winning streak, it’s difficult to see them dropping points, but away from home, it’s not so black and white.
Liverpool are due a blip. They’ve played really well this season, they’re the best team in the league by a country mile but they’ve had some fortune along the way too. They’ve won when not playing well, they’ve had other teams miss glorious opportunities to pinch a draw, and VAR has been a friend. In fact there’s a meme online that has renamed the club LiVARpool.
Morinho has a good history against Liverpool. He’s frustrated them in the past. With that in mind, with Spurs being at home and with the Liverpool squad pushed to breaking point, we’re predicting a score draw.
A 1-1 draw is going to get you odds at 13/2 which in a game against a team that have dropped 2 points all season, that’s great odds.
Picking the right results gives you an Acca with 15/1 odds, which offers decent value. But if you want something that’s fun and has a tonne of value follow our predictions and pick the scores at over 389/1.