Premier League Betting Tips
This could potentially be the most important weekend of fixtures of the 19/20 Premier League season. It will test the recovery of either West Ham or Everton. Both have that new manager boost right now, we’ll see how concrete it is as they face each other. Arsenal face a real test welcoming Sheffield to the Emirates and Chelsea will find out if they’re over the inconsistency they suffered from at the beginning of the season, or if they’re starting to mature into a team that could challenge next season.
Most importantly, if Liverpool beat Manchester United, for most people it will seal them the Premier League. Not mathematically, but having faced Spurs and United, with a weakened squad and not dropped points, it feels unlikely they’ll drop 16 more points the rest of the season. Let’s get into it.
Arsenal v Sheffield Utd – 18th KO 3.00
This is going to be a belter. Arsenal are a team that is looking to improve under the guidance of old fan favourite and exciting young head coach Mikel Arteta. There are already signs of improvement. They’re much more compact and they seem to press the ball more cohesively. Arteta is also working on getting their fitness levels up.
The away team are the surprise package this year. A surprise to everyone but Chris Wilder and the Sheffield United faithful. We are talking about a well organised, hard working team where everyone knows their role on both sides of the ball. They play good football and also play to their strengths.
This is an exciting game to call for exactly that reason. It’s some great players versus a great team. Who is going to win out?
We have this as a score draw. Arsenal will start brightly and Sheffield United will finish strongly. Most likely a 1-1 draw. You can get decent value at 11/2
You can get Arsenal to score first half and the game to finish a draw with odds at 12/1. That seems a worthwhile punt.
Newcastle v Chelsea – 18th KO 5.30pm
Surprisingly Newcastle has one of the best home records in the league. Not many teams go to St James’s Park and win. They’ve actually stumbled on a good mix of players. They’ve got the local boys in the Longstaff brothers and big Andy Carrol. A bit of flair in the enigmatic Jonjo Shelvey with the power and pace of newcomers Willems and Saint-Maximin. Sure, they’re not going to storm up the league but they’ve enough work ethic and quality to pinch points away and be very difficult to beat at home.
Chelsea is having a great season. When you put into context where they were at the start of the season. A new, young, inexperienced manager with a young inexperienced group of players. And a transfer ban to deal with.
However, Frank Lampard has trusted youth, he built the team around it and each of the starlets have had their moments throughout the season, to date.
Naturally, they’re inconsistent and it’s difficult because the squad depth in some positions doesn’t allow for a lot of rotation, but barring some fatigue they’ve got to be pleased.There’s plenty of talk of Lampard looking to do some business in the transfer window, should the right players be available, but that is very unlikely to impact this game.
Chelsea went to Brighton recently where they were faced with a similar situation. A team very difficult to beat at home. We felt that it might have been a draw but they did enough to get a result and we’ve seen that steel. So we’re predicting a little bit more of that kind of form from the blues.
Chelsea to win 2-0 at 13/2 sounds tasty. Callum Hudson-Odoi has scored two in two games so we fancy him to score and the odds of 6/1 make it attractive to bet on him to be first scorer.
West Ham v Everton – 18th KO 3.00
West Ham are not having a great season. That’s saying it mildly. They have some really fantastic players, but they don’t seem to have the right blend and it cost Pelligrini his job recently. Now with Moyes at the helm, someone who knows the club from the last time he rescued the club from relegation, things are looking a little brighter.
Under David Moyes, they’ll be organised and will work hard. And it’s interesting to see them playing Everton. There was plenty of chatter that Moyes was a serious option for the Everton job but the backlash from the fans meant it was not really tenable. He’ll definitely have a point to prove.
The away team have been terrible on the road this year. Well, they’ve been terrible full stop, especially when you see the players they have, but especially away.
To be fair to Everton, they’ve had some injuries along the way. This is star player Andre Gomis’ 2nd injury of the season whilst new signing (and another midfielder) Gambin has been out for months.
At one point, they were playing Holgate, a young defender in the centre of midfield.
They looked great with Big Duncan Fergason at the helm. They run more and fought more than they had for years. Then Anceolotti came in and things looked good before the got beaten by Liverpool’s kids.
Ancelotti has not had any real time to work with this Everton team, and has very few options. There is no doubting his quality as a coach and he is the type of manager who can attract exciting players to the club. Moise Kean has failed to ignite but Ancelotti has already signalled his intent to give him every opportunity to find his feet. If he does then the league should watch out, he looks a fine player, with pace and power in abundance.
We are going for a 2:1 away win. Everton were embarrassed by an understrength Liverpool team, they’ll be looking to make an impression and we think they’ll win the game 2-1. We like 8/1 odds too.
Richarlison scored last game. He has a habit of scoring in batches and we fancy him to get on the score sheet at 8/5.
Liverpool v Man Utd – 19th KO 4.30
Oh my days, does it get any better than a Liverpool v United match?
Both teams are down to the bare bones.
Liverpool has been without Matip, Lovren and Fabinho, who have had fairly long term injuries. They’re back in training now, but with no recent game time, it’s hard to see them being involved with this one. Liverpool also has Milner struggling and Kieta out, so the midfield is a struggle. They have 4 players fit, with it being a straight fight between Lallana and Ox Chamberlain to play alongside Henderson and Wijnaldum.
The visitors are fairing no better. They have almost everyone fit upfront and are steady at the back. They’ve conceded the same amount of goals as Man City, which is impressive, but they’ve lacked creativity sometimes, which isn’t helped by the injury list in midfield which currently includes Pogba, Scott McTominay and Jesse Lingard together with Luke Shaw and Young to miss out.
On the plus side, Eric Bailly is very close to a return.
Liverpool has been unbeaten in 38 games. They have only dropped points once this season, which is astonishing. But those dropped points were a draw at Old Trafford. Do united have their number?
United are Liverpool’s bogey side, in a sense but at home, it’s difficult to see past a Liverpool win. They have scored 2 or more goals in 80% of the last 20 matches. They’ve also been really tight at the back. At home against United, we fancy a 2.0 result at 11/2 which feels like a steal.
Firmino has been in good form. We fancy a 2.0 result with Bobby to score at 24/1. Make it exciting!